Seems there is a pattern when technology replaces something.

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slashmaster
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Seems there is a pattern when technology replaces something.

Post by slashmaster » Sun Dec 27, 2015 11:52 pm

I've been trying to notice a pattern from other things that have had to compete with digital. Been looking at Vinyl Records, audio cassettes, 8-tracks, mechanical watches, VHS, women and tube amps. Seems like when a new alternative technology comes out, the old one slowly declines to a low and then rebounds but never back to the level it was. Mechanical watches are a prime example of this! Vinyl records and Audio Cassettes are currently rebounding. 8-tracks and VHS still have a little more ways to fall. I think 16mm is actually just starting to go back up but regular 8 still has more to go down. One of the things I think is still at the beginning of the fall stage is women, all the progressively better pics and vids you can get for free are starting to take away guys motivation for the real thing. Been looking at vacuum tube amps too which still have more to fall, but you get some serious diehards in that group! Altogether, seems to me small gauge film should be on the rebound in a few years. What are your thoughts?

nikonr10
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Re: Seems there is a pattern when technology replaces someth

Post by nikonr10 » Mon Dec 28, 2015 2:42 am

slashmaster wrote:I've been trying to notice a pattern from other things that have had to compete with digital. Been looking at Vinyl Records, audio cassettes, 8-tracks, mechanical watches, VHS, women and tube amps. Seems like when a new alternative technology comes out, the old one slowly declines to a low and then rebounds but never back to the level it was. Mechanical watches are a prime example of this! Vinyl records and Audio Cassettes are currently rebounding. 8-tracks and VHS still have a little more ways to fall. I think 16mm is actually just starting to go back up but regular 8 still has more to go down. One of the things I think is still at the beginning of the fall stage is women, all the progressively better pics and vids you can get for free are starting to take away guys motivation for the real thing. Been looking at vacuum tube amps too which still have more to fall, but you get some serious diehards in that group! Altogether, seems to me small gauge film should be on the rebound in a few years. What are your thoughts?
One day soon the bicycle will replace the car , :ymapplause: As well .

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Re: Seems there is a pattern when technology replaces someth

Post by inlieubeaulieu » Tue Dec 29, 2015 9:23 pm

Tube amps dipped in popularity in the 80's and 90's when solid-state was all the rage. Now they're super popular/expensive because they sound great (and distort in such a pretty way). If they have yet to pick up, I'd hate to see how much a vintage Fender tweed would go for in the future!

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Re: Seems there is a pattern when technology replaces someth

Post by richard p. t. » Wed Dec 30, 2015 4:13 am

If this post is a joke its in very poor taste. I suggest for the sake of your own reputation as well as that of this forum, you ask for it to be deleted.
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Re: Seems there is a pattern when technology replaces someth

Post by Mmechanic » Wed Dec 30, 2015 9:08 am

+1

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Re: Seems there is a pattern when technology replaces someth

Post by slashmaster » Wed Dec 30, 2015 12:55 pm

inlieubeaulieu wrote:Tube amps dipped in popularity in the 80's and 90's when solid-state was all the rage. Now they're super popular/expensive because they sound great (and distort in such a pretty way). If they have yet to pick up, I'd hate to see how much a vintage Fender tweed would go for in the future!
Yeah, I was looking at "Google trends" charts for tube amps but they only go back to 2004. Shows it going downhill most of the way though.

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Re: Seems there is a pattern when technology replaces someth

Post by slashmaster » Wed Dec 30, 2015 1:05 pm

richard p. t. wrote:If this post is a joke its in very poor taste. I suggest for the sake of your own reputation as well as that of this forum, you ask for it to be deleted.
Could very well be. The goal was to predict the future of film though. What would you have done?

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Re: Seems there is a pattern when technology replaces someth

Post by Simon Lucas » Thu Dec 31, 2015 11:37 am

slashmaster wrote:I've been trying to notice a pattern from other things that have had to compete with digital. Been looking at Vinyl Records, audio cassettes, 8-tracks, mechanical watches, VHS, women and tube amps. Seems like when a new alternative technology comes out, the old one slowly declines to a low and then rebounds but never back to the level it was. Mechanical watches are a prime example of this! Vinyl records and Audio Cassettes are currently rebounding. 8-tracks and VHS still have a little more ways to fall. I think 16mm is actually just starting to go back up but regular 8 still has more to go down. One of the things I think is still at the beginning of the fall stage is women, all the progressively better pics and vids you can get for free are starting to take away guys motivation for the real thing. Been looking at vacuum tube amps too which still have more to fall, but you get some serious diehards in that group! Altogether, seems to me small gauge film should be on the rebound in a few years. What are your thoughts?
I think this post would be Ok, if you deleted the line about pictures of women.

It would be useful to consider the history of media technology and its affect on the arts. Invent a new medium, but instead of killing the medium you are replacing, you freeing it to re-invent itself. I think you have to separate minor issues like tubes from the more important defining factors of the medium.

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