tlatosmd wrote:skahde wrote:tlatosmd wrote: when they'd caught up on that in late 2003, pre-paid K40 was 18 Euros.
There is little point in discussing where the price for K40 would have gone if Kodak hadn't discontinued it. We will never know.
K40 wasn't discontinued in or before late 2003.
I know. But aren't you trying to say the rise in price after this point was based on its discontinuance?
tlatosmd wrote:
From all we can tell, it should actually be less for Kodak. Cheaper manufacturing (maybe they're even just slicing and packaging their shelf warming 35mm supplies as they did with Ektachrome VNF 7240), absolutely no processing costs for 64T.
Unprocessed 64T starts a lot less (14,87 EUR single cart, 12,20 ), hand processing E6 is always about this price, even in 35mm. I'm afraid we won't see it getting much cheaper.
tlatosmd wrote:
Both statements exclude each other. That K40 supplies were exhausted didn't affect prices before May 2005.
I obviously wasn't clear enough that supplies includes the stock on dealers shelfs, everyhting still available to the customer through the sales channel.
tlatosmd wrote:
And we're not talking about the price of exhausted thus more valuable K40 after all, but 64T that's currently in production and excellent supply.
Were talking about two low speed tungsten reversals, filling the same niche. If people are willing to pay an increased price for one of them there is little reason they would not pay a comparable price for the other as long as the quality is decent.
tlatosmd wrote:
skahde wrote:Super 8 filming is evolving into a niche market after the homevideo-shooters left it.
That's what happened a quarter of a century ago.
Not entirely. According to Kodaks statement for there reasons to discontinue K40 the DV-era also took its toll and K40 saw a remarkable drop in demand during the last few years.
tlatosmd wrote:
This niche has been constantly growing since the late 90s, which would logically facilitate for lower prices.
It depends on where you see a bigger potential, in selling increased volume or in increased income from the same or even a smaller volume. If the latter seems preferable you can as well increase prices. The latter may be a smart move if you are sitting on a limited load of K40, 64T or whatever or if you don't expect the market to grow any further or not being influenced much by price of stock. I'm quite sure they know that now 16mm draws the line.
tlatosmd wrote:
But instead, Kodak just discontinued their best-selling, most-compatible, and well-established S8 stock by far, causing an inevitable shrinking of the market, at least for Kodak.
The best selling S8 means a low volume product and with Kodachrome there is next to no synergism with other products. Kodak sold off all Labs in Europe but kept Lausanne as they had to support Kodachrome at that time which noone else could do. Kodachrome is a dead horse. Sales are shrinking (try to get K64 in Germany it's next to extinct) and Kodak would be more than happy to get their last Lab in Europe off their back.
Stefan